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Kalshi Politics

Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

15%chance
▼ 8.5pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation be the first to leave office?" at a 15% probability, down over the last 2d (-8.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$150
Total volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$3K
All-time range
6% – 35%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If the individual holding the title of Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation at the time of Issuance is the first within the HHS Secretary, the Secretary of Defense, and the FBI Director to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 15% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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