Kalshi Politics

Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?

Resolves Jan 8, 2099

5%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $645
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $70
All-time range: 4% – 25%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 879mo

How this resolves

If Petr Pavel formally holds the position of Secretary General of NATO, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Will Petr Pavel be the next Secretary General of NATO?

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