Kalshi
Politics
Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?
18%chance
▼ 5.0pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?" at a 18% probability, down over the last 23h (-5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $719
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $719
- All-time range
- 17% – 33%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 35mo
How this resolves
If Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.