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Kalshi Politics

Will Joachim Nagel be the next President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028?

Resolves Jan 8, 2028

3%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Joachim Nagel be the next President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$804
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$744
All-time range
3% – 8%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If Joachim Nagel formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 3% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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