Kalshi Politics

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

41%chance

▼ 2.5pt over 2d

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?" at a 41% probability, down over the last 2d (-2.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $8
Total volume: $17.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $9.8K
All-time range: 39% – 46%
Our history: 10 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 41% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=6884" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Who will be Trump&#039;s next Secretary of Defense?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Vol $700.3K today · $4.6M total · resolves in 12d

80% ▼ 1.0pt

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

Vol $685.2K today · $876.1K total · resolves in 3d

92% ▲ +0.8pt

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Politics markets