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Kalshi Politics

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

3%chance
– 0.1pt over 45h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 45h (-0.1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$2K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$2K
All-time range
1% – 13%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Mike Pompeo, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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