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Kalshi Politics

Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Mar 1, 2027?

Resolves Mar 1, 2027

28%chance
– 0.0pt over 24h
0%50%100%Oct 12Oct 26

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Gavin Newsom announce a run for President of the United States before Mar 1, 2027?" at a 28% probability, roughly flat over the last 24h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$601
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$601
All-time range
0% – 50%
Our history
15 days
Resolves
4mo

How this resolves

If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 28% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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