Kalshi Politics

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

39%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?" at a 39% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $8
Total volume: $86.6K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $39.3K
All-time range: 29% – 42%
Our history: 10 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If martial law has been imposed in the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

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