MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?

Resolves Jan 1, 2029

50%chance
– 0.0pt over 34h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 27

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?" at a 50% probability, roughly flat over the last 34h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
All-time range
49% – 50%
Our history
18 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 50% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all