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Kalshi

Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

5%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$3.5K
All-time range
4% – 5%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
76d

How this resolves

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 5% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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