MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi

Will P vs NP be resolved before 2028?

Resolves Jan 7, 2028

7%chance
▼ 5.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Nov 7

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will P vs NP be resolved before 2028?" at a 7% probability, down over the last 23h (-5.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$6K
Total volume
$6.3K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$6K
All-time range
7% – 71%
Our history
29 days
Resolves
14mo

How this resolves

If P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 7% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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