Kalshi
Politics
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029?
76%chance
▼ 8.0pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029?" at a 76% probability, down over the last 23h (-8 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $587
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $587
- All-time range
- 65% – 91%
- Our history
- 9 days
- Resolves
- 27mo
How this resolves
If Friedrich Merz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Chancellor of Germany or has actually left as Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.