Kalshi Politics

Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

28%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?" at a 28% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $4.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $1.5K
All-time range: 17% – 30%
Our history: 8 days
Resolves: 15mo

How this resolves

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?

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