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Kalshi Politics

Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027

11%chance
– 0.1pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 20

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?" at a 11% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$10.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$5.4K
All-time range
11% – 12%
Our history
11 days
Resolves
8mo

How this resolves

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 11% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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