MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

4%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z?" at a 4% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$3K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.3K
All-time range
4% – 50%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
76d

How this resolves

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 4% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all