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Kalshi Politics

Will Ernesto Maria Ruffini become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?

Resolves Dec 22, 2028

3%chance
– 0.0pt over 38h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Ernesto Maria Ruffini become Prime Minister of Italy following the next Italian general election?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 38h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$689
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$645
Our history
10 days
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If Ernesto Maria Ruffini becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 3% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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