Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?" at a 9% probability, up over the last 29h (+2 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $660
- Total volume
- $836
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $674
- All-time range
- 3% – 34%
- Our history
- 18 days
- Resolves
- 49mo
How this resolves
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.