Kalshi Politics

Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 10% to 20%?

Resolves Dec 31, 2029

8%chance

▲ 1.1pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 10% to 20%?" at a 8% probability, up over the last 23h (+1.1 point change).

Volume (24h): $651
Total volume: $651
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $651
All-time range: 7% – 50%
Our history: 30 hours
Resolves: 38mo

How this resolves

If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will a Republican win in 2028 AND the 2029 S&P 500 change be 10% to 20%?

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