Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?" at a 15% probability, down over the last 23h (-1.5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $2
- Total volume
- $71K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $11.3K
- All-time range
- 15% – 17%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 28mo
How this resolves
If a free trade agreement with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.