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Kalshi Politics Closed

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 1, 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

19%chance
– 0.5pt over 45h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 26

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 1, 2028?" at a 19% probability, roughly flat over the last 45h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
All-time range
18% – 50%
Our history
18 days
Resolves
14mo

How this resolves

If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 19% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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