MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?

Resolves Apr 18, 2028

5%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 20Oct 22

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$9.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$3.2K
All-time range
3% – 50%
Our history
3 days
Resolves
18mo

How this resolves

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the next French presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 5% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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