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Kalshi Politics

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?

Resolves Jan 1, 2032

30%chance
▲ 9.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Nov 4

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2032?" at a 30% probability, up over the last 23h (+9.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$776
Total volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$875
All-time range
20% – 58%
Our history
26 days
Resolves
63mo

How this resolves

If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2032, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 30% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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