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Kalshi Politics

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

15%chance
▲ 9.0pt over 34h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 31

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2028?" at a 15% probability, up over the last 34h (+9 point change).

Volume (24h)
$200
Total volume
$502
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$315
All-time range
2% – 15%
Our history
23 days
Resolves
14mo

How this resolves

If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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