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Kalshi Politics

Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

Resolves May 17, 2029

39%chance
▲ 2.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028" at a 39% probability, up over the last 23h (+2 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$5.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.9K
All-time range
27% – 39%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
31mo

How this resolves

If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 39% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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