Kalshi
Politics
Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?
16%chance
▲ 1.0pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Gavin Newsom be first this list to declare for 2028 United States presidential election before Nov 7, 2028?" at a 16% probability, up over the last 23h (+1 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $18.3K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $8.1K
- All-time range
- 14% – 18%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 25mo
How this resolves
If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.