Kalshi
Politics
Will the national debt hit $47.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?
61%chance
– 0.5pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the national debt hit $47.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?" at a 61% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $34
- Total volume
- $3.5K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $2.4K
- All-time range
- 60% – 62%
- Our history
- 9 days
- Resolves
- 30mo
How this resolves
If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.