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Kalshi Politics

Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?

Resolves Mar 31, 2029

100%chance
– 0.0pt over 32h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the national debt hit $40 trillion during the Trump Administration?" at a 100% probability, roughly flat over the last 32h (-0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$465
Total volume
$62.4K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$18K
All-time range
100% – 100%
Our history
9 days
Resolves
30mo

How this resolves

If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 100% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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