Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?" at a 21% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $25
- Total volume
- $25.9M
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $169.2K
- All-time range
- 19% – 23%
- Our history
- 9 days
- Resolves
- 21mo
How this resolves
If at least 3 of:
unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)
S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance
Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix
labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%
CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release
occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.