Kalshi Politics

Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

37%chance

▼ 2.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?" at a 37% probability, down over the last 23h (-2.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $5.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $638
All-time range: 35% – 39%
Our history: 11 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If the U.S. Census Bureau announces its finalization of a rule excluding undocumented immigrants from the population used to apportion seats in the U.S. House of Representatives among the states before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?

How this resolves

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