Kalshi
Politics
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
23%chance
– 0.5pt
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?" at a 23% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $1.7K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $448
- All-time range
- 23% – 24%
- Our history
- 9 days
- Resolves
- 39mo
How this resolves
If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.