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Kalshi Politics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

16%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status before Jan 1, 2028?" at a 16% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$3K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.4K
All-time range
14% – 17%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 16% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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