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Kalshi Politics

Will Sean Duffy be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

2%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Sean Duffy be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?" at a 2% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$4K
Our history
8 days
Resolves
28mo

How this resolves

If Sean Duffy is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 2% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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