Kalshi Politics

Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

17%chance

▲ 2.5pt over 33h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?" at a 17% probability, up over the last 33h (+2.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $25
Total volume: $20K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $13K
All-time range: 7% – 19%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If Howard Lutnick is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will Howard Lutnick be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?

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