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Kalshi Politics

Will a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Resolves Jan 21, 2029

82%chance
▼ 8.0pt over 11h
0%50%100%Oct 27Oct 28

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?" at a 82% probability, down over the last 11h (-8 point change).

Volume (24h)
$590
Total volume
$590
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$590
All-time range
81% – 90%
Our history
11 hours
Resolves
27mo

How this resolves

If a sitting member of Trump's Cabinet has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 82% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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