MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Iain Black be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?

Resolves Jan 8, 2028

5%chance
▼ 1.0pt over 24h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 20

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Iain Black be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028?" at a 5% probability, down over the last 24h (-1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1K
All-time range
5% – 11%
Our history
11 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If Iain Black formally holds the position of leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 5% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all