MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Pauline Hanson become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?

Resolves Sep 23, 2029

23%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 28

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Pauline Hanson become Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives?" at a 23% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$576
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$576
All-time range
16% – 43%
Our history
19 days
Resolves
35mo

How this resolves

If Pauline Hanson becomes Prime Minister of Australia as a result of government formation following the next Australian federal election for the House of Representatives and meets all constitutional requirements before Sep 23, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 23% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all