MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

16%chance
▼ 4.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029?" at a 16% probability, down over the last 23h (-4 point change).

Volume (24h)
$8
Total volume
$9.1K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$3.8K
All-time range
16% – 24%
Our history
9 days
Resolves
28mo

How this resolves

If a bill becomes law that eliminates any of the following ACA provisions: (1) the employer mandate (2) the Medicaid eligibility expansion (3) the protection for preexisting conditions (4) permitting people up to the age of 26 to be on their parents' health care plans or (5) ends the premium subsidies for households on the ACA marketplace before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 16% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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