MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

48%chance
▲ 1.0pt over 40h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?" at a 48% probability, up over the last 40h (+1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$12
Total volume
$15.4K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$8.3K
All-time range
46% – 56%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If Thomas Massie announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 48% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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