Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

Resolves May 6, 2029

5%chance

– 0.0pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $2.6K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $2.1K
All-time range: 4% – 6%
Our history: 8 days
Resolves: 31mo

How this resolves

If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

How this resolves

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