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Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

Resolves May 6, 2029

5%chance
– 0.0pt over 30h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 30h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$890
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$650
All-time range
5% – 6%
Our history
9 days
Resolves
31mo

How this resolves

If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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