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Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?

Resolves May 6, 2029

6%chance
– 0.0pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?" at a 6% probability, roughly flat over the last 2d (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$670
All-time range
5% – 6%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
31mo

How this resolves

If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 6% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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