Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?
Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?" at a 6% probability, roughly flat over the last 2d (0 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $0
- Total volume
- $1.1K
- Liquidity
- $0
- Open interest
- $670
- All-time range
- 5% – 6%
- Our history
- 10 days
- Resolves
- 31mo
How this resolves
If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.