Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
20%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
78%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
0%
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
3%
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
0%
Change ×
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?
97%
– 0.5pt
Vol $3 today · $2.9K total
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.