Kalshi Economy

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?

Resolves Jan 1, 2029

97%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?" at a 97% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $3
Total volume: $2.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $1.9K
All-time range: 94% – 97%
Our history: 11 days
Resolves: 27mo

How this resolves

If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

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Polymarket Economy

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Vol $666.7K today · $11.1M total · resolves in 9d

15% ▲ +3.0pt

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?

How this resolves

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