Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
9%
Polymarket
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
3%
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
69%
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
37%
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
60%
Change ×
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?
50%
▲ +2.0pt
Vol $95 today · $1.3K total
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.