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Kalshi Economy

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

48%chance
– 0.0pt over 2d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2027?" at a 48% probability, roughly flat over the last 2d (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$687
All-time range
38% – 49%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all
Polymarket Economy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Vol $1.3M today · $8.9M total · resolves in 9d
0% – 0.1pt
Polymarket Economy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Vol $810K today · $14.3M total · resolves in 9d
85% ▼ 2.0pt