Polymarket vs. Kalshi
Compare markets
See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.
Possibly the same event, on the other platform
Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
79%
Polymarket
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1%
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
0%
Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
18%
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
45%
Polymarket
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
14%
Change ×
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?
3%
– 0.5pt
Vol $103 today · $409 total
Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.