Kalshi Economy

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

3%chance

– 0.0pt over 24h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 24h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $2
Total volume: $491
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $485
All-time range: 3% – 6%
Our history: 18 days
Resolves: 66d

How this resolves

If the Federal Open Market Committee announces a reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate at least once after market Issuance and on or before December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026?

How this resolves

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