Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+1.5)
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Set Handicap: Aryna Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+1.5)" at a 55% probability, up over the last 2h (+12 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $11.7K
- Total volume
- $11.7K
- Liquidity
- $754
- All-time range
- 34% – 81%
- Our history
- 2 hours
- Resolves
- 7d
How this resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Aryna Sabalenka" if Aryna Sabalenka wins by 2 or more sets than Karolina Muchova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Karolina Muchova."
If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Aryna Sabalenka can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova."
If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.