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Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

13%chance
▼ 20.5pt over 13d
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 22

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" at a 13% probability, down over the last 13d (-20.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$15.6K
Total volume
$71.4K
Liquidity
$7.5K
All-time range
11% – 33%
Our history
14 days
Resolves
69d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 13% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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