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Polymarket Economy Closed

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

17%chance
▼ 0.9pt over 3d
0%50%100%Oct 12Oct 20

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?" at a 17% probability, down over the last 3d (-0.9 point change).

Volume (24h)
$2.6K
Total volume
$210.9K
Liquidity
$26K
All-time range
9% – 23%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 17% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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